CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2020-03-02T20:00:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2020-03-02T20:00ZCME Note: From Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla: The in-situ observations exhibit two coherent magnetic structures with monotonic changes in the magnetic field profile. Possibly, they could be the traces of streamer blow outs. Remote sensing observations are required to fully identify and characterize the structures. The first one arrives on march 6, around 14 hrs UT and last for 10 hrs. It is a coherent structure without clear rotation in the magnetic field rotation but low temperature. The second structure displays a magnetic field rotation and low temperature flux rope signatures. It starts around 14 hrs UT and last for 13 hrs.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2020-03-06T14:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-03-07T15:09Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 13.9333%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.66667 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -42438.93 hour(s)
Difference: -25.15 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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